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Johnson decides to delay Britain’s blockade easing by a month

Boris Johnson plans to delay lifting the remaining coronavirus restrictions in the UK by a month after his chief medical adviser pressures him to postpone the move following a surge in Covid-19 cases. is.

The limit will be lifted on June 21, but UK Chief Medical Officer Chris Whitty is seeking a four-week delay. The Prime Minister will announce on Monday.

Lifting of restrictions is expected to be delayed as the NHS competes to vaccinate more adults. Covid-19 infection and surge in hospitalization All over the UK due to a variant of the coronavirus named Delta. Approximately 15 million adults remain unvaccinated in the UK, including 2 million over the age of 50, according to an analysis by the Financial Times.

According to the report, 9 out of 10 new Covid-19 cases are delta type. Public Health England Report released on Friday.

PHE data also show that the first identified delta in India is 64% more infectious than the previously predominant alpha variant that occurred in Kent.

Two Whitehall officials advised Mr. Whitty to postpone the final phase of the government’s blockade mitigation program in the UK by four weeks this week, just to reduce the delay to control the spread of the virus. He emphasized that this is not enough.

Whitty said a four-week delay was essential to avoid situations where the restrictions were lifted prematurely and needed to be reinstated later.

One of Johnson’s allies said: He doesn’t have to relax the restrictions right now to get them back later. “

Downing Street said “no decision has been made” on whether to lift the restrictions on June 21st. According to government officials, Johnson may relax guidance on the size of the June 21 wedding, even though it retains other restrictions.

The government is trying to arm more jabs with two doses of the coronavirus vaccine, which provides excellent protection against infection from delta mutants. Currently, 55.4 percent of the adult population receives two doses.

Johnson was given an up-to-date analysis of the delta variant and data outlining its potential impact on the NHS on Thursday. “Now it’s important to double jab everyone as soon as possible,” said one source.

An insider of the Cabinet Office said: [to lifting the final restrictions] The only wise course of action. That is our working assumption. The latest modeling is disastrous, and it would be suicide to pursue complete mitigation. ”

Government medical advisers have modeled the impact of a four-week delay on vaccination levels and conclude that even a small postponement does not make a big difference.

However, they say that four weeks will have a significant impact by increasing the number of adults who are fully vaccinated with two doses and giving more young people at least some protection from a single jab. believe.

“They can predict how many people of different ages will be vaccinated, and modeling shows that after four weeks it has a significant impact on positive cases,” said one official, the NHS. Added that he will be able to double-jab more than 40 years old. Not only the most vulnerable.

A graph showing that the number of cases is increasing rapidly in the UK, and the index of hospitals is also rising.So far, death has shown no signs of a sustained rise

The UK has reported 45,895 new infections over the past seven days, recording the highest weekly Covid-19 incidence since early March. This is a 58% increase from the previous week.

National Bureau of Statistics data The prevalence was shown to be highest among northwestern England and middle school children.

Hospitalizations for Covid-19 have increased sharply since the delta variant prevailed, occupying 884 beds in the UK on Friday, up from a May 22 low of 730. It has increased by 9.8% in the past week.

The association between cases, hospitalizations and deaths has not been disrupted by the vaccine, but the data suggest that it has been significantly weakened.

According to PHE, more than half of the 42 people who died after being infected with the delta mutant were unvaccinated.

According to an analysis by the Financial Times, the chances of getting infected by vaccination are much less than last fall’s wave of infection, and the case fatality rate could be 75% lower in the recent surge in cases.

The current surge in case numbers in the UK is a graph showing that it has a much younger age profile than the second wave last fall and should be less lethal.

Scientists, health leaders and economists upheld the allegation that they delayed the end of regulation in the UK after June 21st.

Ravi Gupta, a professor of clinical microbiology at the University of Cambridge and a member of the government’s new Respiratory Virus Threat Advisory Group, said, “Vaccinations have not reached enough people and are at risk. It was a delicate time because we lost some of the benefits we achieved. “

Chris Hopson, CEO of NHS providers representing health leaders across the country, said he believes the decision to proceed with the June 21 mitigation is “balanced.” .. .. ..But given what the trust and frontline staff are working on right now [non-Covid treatment] Due to the untreated portion and addressing the growing demand for emergency care, a slight increase in Covid-19 cases will discontinue non-Covid treatment. “

Calm Pickering, an economist at Berenberg Bank, said the economic implications of delayed deregulation would be small.

“Anyway, the mitigation damage after most restrictions have been lifted can be offset later by a confidence effect if the vaccine proves to be a game changer,” he added.

Johnson decides to delay Britain’s blockade easing by a month

Source link Johnson decides to delay Britain’s blockade easing by a month

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